Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002934 0.003070 0.003209 0.003361 0.003524 0.003692 0.003879
2025-03-09 0.002687 0.002890 0.003105 0.003350 0.003621 0.003915 0.004257
2025-03-16 0.002519 0.002760 0.003021 0.003327 0.003677 0.004066 0.004535
2025-03-23 0.002373 0.002637 0.002930 0.003280 0.003689 0.004155 0.004733
2025-03-30 0.002256 0.002537 0.002854 0.003239 0.003699 0.004235 0.004914
2025-04-06 0.002179 0.002477 0.002818 0.003240 0.003753 0.004363 0.005153
2025-04-13 0.002055 0.002356 0.002704 0.003140 0.003677 0.004327 0.005184
2025-04-20 0.001998 0.002312 0.002678 0.003143 0.003726 0.004442 0.005406
2025-04-27 0.001969 0.002298 0.002687 0.003188 0.003825 0.004623 0.005718
2025-05-04 0.001905 0.002239 0.002638 0.003157 0.003827 0.004677 0.005863
2025-05-11 0.001852 0.002191 0.002600 0.003139 0.003841 0.004746 0.006030
2025-05-18 0.001800 0.002142 0.002559 0.003113 0.003845 0.004799 0.006175
2025-05-25 0.001775 0.002128 0.002562 0.003145 0.003926 0.004960 0.006479
2025-06-01 0.001733 0.002090 0.002533 0.003134 0.003948 0.005042 0.006674
2025-06-08 0.001689 0.002049 0.002498 0.003114 0.003957 0.005103 0.006841
2025-06-15 0.001639 0.001997 0.002448 0.003070 0.003931 0.005114 0.006934
2025-06-22 0.001593 0.001950 0.002403 0.003033 0.003912 0.005134 0.007039
2025-06-29 0.001566 0.001926 0.002387 0.003034 0.003946 0.005229 0.007261
2025-07-06 0.001503 0.001854 0.002306 0.002942 0.003845 0.005126 0.007171
2025-07-13 0.001479 0.001834 0.002293 0.002946 0.003880 0.005221 0.007394
2025-07-20 0.001472 0.001835 0.002308 0.002986 0.003970 0.005400 0.007759
2025-07-27 0.001439 0.001801 0.002274 0.002959 0.003958 0.005425 0.007877
2025-08-03 0.001411 0.001773 0.002249 0.002942 0.003961 0.005473 0.008033